Tarandacuao Weather Records (MXN00011077)

The fitted trend in annual mean temperature here over 1942 to 2012 is 0.04 C (-0.04 to 0.12) per decade. The interval includes zero, so the trend is not clearly different from zero. In Fahrenheit: 0.1 F (-0.1 to 0.2) per decade. The slope is a straight line fitted to 60 complete years; the brackets give its 95 percent interval.

Across 27 years with a frost, the median last spring frost at Tarandacuao falls on 31 January and the median first autumn frost on 14 November, which leaves a median of 293 days between them.

Fitted over all years, the growing season changes by +4.3 days per decade at this station.

A day with at least 45.4 mm (1.8 in) of rain is expected about once in 2 years. A day with at least 73.2 mm (2.9 in) of rain is expected about once in 100 years.

The levels come from a generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution fitted by L-moments to the wettest-day total of each year, 67 years of values from 1942 to 2012.

A return level is an estimate. It is least reliable for the long periods, 50 and 100 years, and for any period longer than the record behind the fit, where the fit has to reach past the largest day actually observed. It is not a forecast.

The largest wettest-day totals in the fit: 78.0 mm (3.1 in) in 2008; 73.2 mm (2.9 in) in 2012; 64.3 mm (2.5 in) in 1980.

2 changes were suspected in the annual mean temperature of Tarandacuao, at 1984 and 2003. Each is measured against neighbouring stations.

• Relative to 5 neighbouring stations, the station's annual mean temperature from 1984 ran 0.4 C (0.7 F) lower than in the years before (possible change).
• Relative to 5 neighbouring stations, the station's annual mean temperature from 2003 ran 0.9 C (1.7 F) higher than in the years before (likely change).