Presa Centenario Weather Records (MXN00022025)

The annual mean temperature here has risen by 0.5 C (0.4 to 0.6) per decade over 1952 to 2005. In Fahrenheit: 0.9 F (0.6 to 1.1) per decade. The slope is a straight line fitted to 41 complete years; the brackets give its 95 percent interval.

Across 29 years with a frost, the median last spring frost at Presa Centenario falls on 15 February and the median first autumn frost on 12 November, which leaves a median of 276 days between them.

Fitted over all years, the growing season changes by +2.2 days per decade at this station.

A day with at least 49.2 mm (1.9 in) of rain is expected about once in 2 years. A day with at least 95.2 mm (3.7 in) of rain is expected about once in 100 years.

The levels come from a generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution fitted by L-moments to the wettest-day total of each year, 52 years of values from 1951 to 2005.

A return level is an estimate. It is least reliable for the long periods, 50 and 100 years, and for any period longer than the record behind the fit, where the fit has to reach past the largest day actually observed. It is not a forecast.

The largest wettest-day totals in the fit: 90.4 mm (3.6 in) in 1973; 89.9 mm (3.5 in) in 1976; 89.9 mm (3.5 in) in 1980.

One change was suspected in the annual mean temperature of Presa Centenario, at 1991. Each is measured against neighbouring stations.

• Relative to 5 neighbouring stations, the station's annual mean temperature from 1991 ran 0.6 C (1.0 F) higher than in the years before (possible change).