Built 2026-10-17 (17 October 2026)

Modesto AP Weather Records (USW00023258)

Record envelope, standing records and threshold days for Modesto AP (USW00023258), California, United States, with 121 years of record.

Key Facts for Modesto AP

  • Modesto AP (USW00023258) is a weather station in California, United States at 37.63 latitude and -120.95 longitude, 27 m (87 ft) above sea level.
  • The station reports from 1906 to 2026, 121 years of record.
  • 1,464 records set at Modesto AP still stand.
  • Records are tracked for tmax, tmin, prcp, snow, snwd: an element needs 30 years of data to be eligible.
  • Modesto AP tied a daily record high maximum temperature of 36.7 C (98.1 F) on 8 October 2026 (provisional).

Provisional Records

Records set in the last 60 days are provisional until they clear the revision window.

About the Station

  • Location: California, United States, 37.63 latitude, -120.95 longitude.
  • Elevation: 27 m (87 ft).
  • Period of record: 1906 to 2026, 121 years.
  • Eligible elements: tmax, tmin, prcp, snow, snwd.

Daily Record Envelope and 2026

14 days at or beyond a record
Daily record high and record low at Modesto AP, with 2026 drawn through them The band shows the record high and record low for each calendar day at Modesto AP. The lines show the 2026 daily maximum and minimum. 14 days in 2026 matched or passed a record. Temperatures are in degrees Celsius. -200204060 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
The band shows the record high and record low for each calendar day at Modesto AP. The lines show the 2026 daily maximum and minimum. 14 days in 2026 matched or passed a record. Temperatures are in degrees Celsius.
Daily record high and record low at Modesto AP, with 2026 drawn through them
MonthHighest record highLowest record low2026 highest maximum2026 lowest minimum
Jan23.9 C (75.0 F)-7.8 C (18.0 F)17.8 C (64.0 F)0.0 C (32.0 F)
Feb26.7 C (80.1 F)-4.4 C (24.1 F)26.7 C (80.1 F)0.6 C (33.1 F)
Mar32.8 C (91.0 F)-2.8 C (27.0 F)32.8 C (91.0 F)3.3 C (37.9 F)
Apr37.8 C (100.0 F)-1.1 C (30.0 F)30.0 C (86.0 F)6.1 C (43.0 F)
May41.7 C (107.1 F)0.0 C (32.0 F)35.0 C (95.0 F)10.6 C (51.1 F)
Jun44.4 C (111.9 F)3.9 C (39.0 F)38.9 C (102.0 F)11.1 C (52.0 F)
Jul45.0 C (113.0 F)7.8 C (46.0 F)40.0 C (104.0 F)13.9 C (57.0 F)
Aug43.9 C (111.0 F)7.8 C (46.0 F)40.0 C (104.0 F)15.0 C (59.0 F)
Sep44.4 C (111.9 F)4.4 C (39.9 F)40.6 C (105.1 F)11.1 C (52.0 F)
Oct40.0 C (104.0 F)-1.7 C (28.9 F)38.3 C (100.9 F)10.6 C (51.1 F)
Nov31.1 C (88.0 F)-3.9 C (25.0 F)n/an/a
Dec23.9 C (75.0 F)-7.8 C (18.0 F)n/an/a

Which Years Hold Standing Records

1,464 standing records
Standing records at Modesto AP by the year they were set 1,464 records at Modesto AP still stand. 1949 holds the most, with 51. 02040601927: 171928: 271929: 451930: 341931: 111932: 231933: 161934: 111935: 261936: 131937: 231938: 141939: 251940: 101941: 81942: 81943: 131944: 161945: 111946: 101947: 121948: 201949: 511950: 271951: 71952: 91953: 111954: 211955: 141956: 81957: 81958: 141959: 181960: 171961: 201962: 101963: 231964: 231965: 171966: 131967: 121968: 71969: 71970: 101971: 91972: 191973: 121974: 101975: 51976: 141977: 111978: 141979: 91980: 101981: 111982: 181983: 91984: 91985: 151986: 91987: 111988: 151989: 201990: 151991: 211992: 151993: 111994: 61995: 201996: 351997: 261998: 161999: 22000: 92001: 112002: 42003: 102004: 72005: 32006: 142007: 142008: 172009: 142010: 42011: 62012: 92013: 72014: 132015: 262016: 142017: 362018: 82019: 92020: 242021: 62022: 132023: 92024: 192025: 92026: 121927193719471957196719771987199720072017
1,464 records at Modesto AP still stand. 1949 holds the most, with 51.
Standing records at Modesto AP by the year they were set
Year setStanding records
192717
192827
192945
193034
193111
193223
193316
193411
193526
193613
193723
193814
193925
194010
19418
19428
194313
194416
194511
194610
194712
194820
194951
195027
19517
19529
195311
195421
195514
19568
19578
195814
195918
196017
196120
196210
196323
196423
196517
196613
196712
19687
19697
197010
19719
197219
197312
197410
19755
197614
197711
197814
19799
198010
198111
198218
19839
19849
198515
19869
198711
198815
198920
199015
199121
199215
199311
19946
199520
199635
199726
199816
19992
20009
200111
20024
200310
20047
20053
200614
200714
200817
200914
20104
20116
20129
20137
201413
201526
201614
201736
20188
20199
202024
20216
202213
20239
202419
20259
202612

All-Time Record Progression

9 new records
When Modesto AP set new all-time records 9 all-time records were set at Modesto AP between 2 April 1958 and 23 July 2006. Each dot is a new record. Record daily precipitationRecord high maximum temperatureRecord high minimum temperature2 April 1958: Record daily precipitation 51.1 mm (2.0 in)15 June 1961: Record high maximum temperature 44.4 C (111.9 F)28 November 1970: Record daily precipitation 57.2 mm (2.3 in)25 July 1974: Record high minimum temperature 25.6 C (78.1 F)4 March 1978: Record daily precipitation 69.1 mm (2.7 in)12 July 1990: Record high minimum temperature 26.1 C (79.0 F)13 July 1990: Record high minimum temperature 26.7 C (80.1 F)22 July 2006: Record high minimum temperature 28.9 C (84.0 F)23 July 2006: Record high maximum temperature 45.0 C (113.0 F)19601970198019902000
9 all-time records were set at Modesto AP between 2 April 1958 and 23 July 2006. Each dot is a new record.
When Modesto AP set new all-time records
DateKindDetail
1958-04-02Record daily precipitationRecord daily precipitation 51.1 mm (2.0 in)
1961-06-15Record high maximum temperatureRecord high maximum temperature 44.4 C (111.9 F)
1970-11-28Record daily precipitationRecord daily precipitation 57.2 mm (2.3 in)
1974-07-25Record high minimum temperatureRecord high minimum temperature 25.6 C (78.1 F)
1978-03-04Record daily precipitationRecord daily precipitation 69.1 mm (2.7 in)
1990-07-12Record high minimum temperatureRecord high minimum temperature 26.1 C (79.0 F)
1990-07-13Record high minimum temperatureRecord high minimum temperature 26.7 C (80.1 F)
2006-07-22Record high minimum temperatureRecord high minimum temperature 28.9 C (84.0 F)
2006-07-23Record high maximum temperatureRecord high maximum temperature 45.0 C (113.0 F)

Wettest Day of Each Month

Mar: 69.1 mm (2.7 in)
Record daily precipitation for each month at Modesto AP The wettest day on record for each calendar month at Modesto AP. The most was 69.1 mm (2.7 in) on 4 March 1978. 020406080 Jan: 63.2 mm (2.5 in), 27 January 2021 Jan Feb: 48.5 mm (1.9 in), 3 February 1998 Feb Mar: 69.1 mm (2.7 in), 4 March 1978 Mar Apr: 51.1 mm (2.0 in), 2 April 1958 Apr May: 42.4 mm (1.7 in), 12 May 1998 May Jun: 29.0 mm (1.1 in), 8 June 2000 Jun Jul: 16.5 mm (0.6 in), 9 July 1974 Jul Aug: 15.0 mm (0.6 in), 18 August 1975 Aug Sep: 47.2 mm (1.9 in), 18 September 1959 Sep Oct: 44.5 mm (1.8 in), 7 October 1973 Oct Nov: 57.2 mm (2.3 in), 28 November 1970 Nov Dec: 55.4 mm (2.2 in), 11 December 2014 Dec
The wettest day on record for each calendar month at Modesto AP. The most was 69.1 mm (2.7 in) on 4 March 1978.
Record daily precipitation for each month at Modesto AP
MonthRecord daily precipitation (mm)Date
Jan63.2 mm (2.5 in)27 January 2021
Feb48.5 mm (1.9 in)3 February 1998
Mar69.1 mm (2.7 in)4 March 1978
Apr51.1 mm (2.0 in)2 April 1958
May42.4 mm (1.7 in)12 May 1998
Jun29.0 mm (1.1 in)8 June 2000
Jul16.5 mm (0.6 in)9 July 1974
Aug15.0 mm (0.6 in)18 August 1975
Sep47.2 mm (1.9 in)18 September 1959
Oct44.5 mm (1.8 in)7 October 1973
Nov57.2 mm (2.3 in)28 November 1970
Dec55.4 mm (2.2 in)11 December 2014

Period of Record Coverage

1927 to 2026
Days with data per year at Modesto AP 100 years of record at Modesto AP, 1927 to 2026. 2 years have data for under 90 percent of days and are left out of rankings: 1927, 2026. 1927: 238 of 365 days1928: 350 of 366 days1929: 364 of 365 days1930: 365 of 365 days1931: 365 of 365 days1932: 366 of 366 days1933: 365 of 365 days1934: 365 of 365 days1935: 365 of 365 days1936: 366 of 366 days1937: 365 of 365 days1938: 365 of 365 days1939: 364 of 365 days1940: 366 of 366 days1941: 365 of 365 days1942: 365 of 365 days1943: 365 of 365 days1944: 366 of 366 days1945: 365 of 365 days1946: 364 of 365 days1947: 365 of 365 days1948: 365 of 366 days1949: 356 of 365 days1950: 365 of 365 days1951: 365 of 365 days1952: 348 of 366 days1953: 365 of 365 days1954: 364 of 365 days1955: 365 of 365 days1956: 366 of 366 days1957: 365 of 365 days1958: 365 of 365 days1959: 365 of 365 days1960: 366 of 366 days1961: 365 of 365 days1962: 365 of 365 days1963: 365 of 365 days1964: 366 of 366 days1965: 365 of 365 days1966: 365 of 365 days1967: 365 of 365 days1968: 365 of 366 days1969: 365 of 365 days1970: 365 of 365 days1971: 363 of 365 days1972: 366 of 366 days1973: 365 of 365 days1974: 365 of 365 days1975: 365 of 365 days1976: 366 of 366 days1977: 365 of 365 days1978: 365 of 365 days1979: 365 of 365 days1980: 365 of 366 days1981: 364 of 365 days1982: 364 of 365 days1983: 365 of 365 days1984: 365 of 366 days1985: 365 of 365 days1986: 333 of 365 days1987: 365 of 365 days1988: 336 of 366 days1989: 364 of 365 days1990: 365 of 365 days1991: 362 of 365 days1992: 360 of 366 days1993: 360 of 365 days1994: 364 of 365 days1995: 333 of 365 days1996: 364 of 366 days1997: 362 of 365 days1998: 365 of 365 days1999: 364 of 365 days2000: 366 of 366 days2001: 365 of 365 days2002: 365 of 365 days2003: 365 of 365 days2004: 366 of 366 days2005: 365 of 365 days2006: 365 of 365 days2007: 365 of 365 days2008: 366 of 366 days2009: 365 of 365 days2010: 365 of 365 days2011: 365 of 365 days2012: 365 of 366 days2013: 365 of 365 days2014: 364 of 365 days2015: 365 of 365 days2016: 366 of 366 days2017: 365 of 365 days2018: 365 of 365 days2019: 365 of 365 days2020: 363 of 366 days2021: 365 of 365 days2022: 364 of 365 days2023: 365 of 365 days2024: 365 of 366 days2025: 361 of 365 days2026: 284 of 365 days1935195019651980199520102025
100 years of record at Modesto AP, 1927 to 2026. 2 years have data for under 90 percent of days and are left out of rankings: 1927, 2026.
Days with data per year at Modesto AP
YearDays with dataShare of yearComplete
192723865%No
192835096%Yes
1929364100%Yes
1930365100%Yes
1931365100%Yes
1932366100%Yes
1933365100%Yes
1934365100%Yes
1935365100%Yes
1936366100%Yes
1937365100%Yes
1938365100%Yes
1939364100%Yes
1940366100%Yes
1941365100%Yes
1942365100%Yes
1943365100%Yes
1944366100%Yes
1945365100%Yes
1946364100%Yes
1947365100%Yes
1948365100%Yes
194935698%Yes
1950365100%Yes
1951365100%Yes
195234895%Yes
1953365100%Yes
1954364100%Yes
1955365100%Yes
1956366100%Yes
1957365100%Yes
1958365100%Yes
1959365100%Yes
1960366100%Yes
1961365100%Yes
1962365100%Yes
1963365100%Yes
1964366100%Yes
1965365100%Yes
1966365100%Yes
1967365100%Yes
1968365100%Yes
1969365100%Yes
1970365100%Yes
197136399%Yes
1972366100%Yes
1973365100%Yes
1974365100%Yes
1975365100%Yes
1976366100%Yes
1977365100%Yes
1978365100%Yes
1979365100%Yes
1980365100%Yes
1981364100%Yes
1982364100%Yes
1983365100%Yes
1984365100%Yes
1985365100%Yes
198633391%Yes
1987365100%Yes
198833692%Yes
1989364100%Yes
1990365100%Yes
199136299%Yes
199236098%Yes
199336099%Yes
1994364100%Yes
199533391%Yes
199636499%Yes
199736299%Yes
1998365100%Yes
1999364100%Yes
2000366100%Yes
2001365100%Yes
2002365100%Yes
2003365100%Yes
2004366100%Yes
2005365100%Yes
2006365100%Yes
2007365100%Yes
2008366100%Yes
2009365100%Yes
2010365100%Yes
2011365100%Yes
2012365100%Yes
2013365100%Yes
2014364100%Yes
2015365100%Yes
2016366100%Yes
2017365100%Yes
2018365100%Yes
2019365100%Yes
202036399%Yes
2021365100%Yes
2022364100%Yes
2023365100%Yes
2024365100%Yes
202536199%Yes
202628478%No

Latest Records

20
Latest records at Modesto AP
DateStationRecordValueBeat old record byOld record stoodSignificance
8 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max (Tie, Provisional)36.7 C (98.1 F)tie1 year2 of 100 (Routine)
7 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high min (Provisional)17.8 C (64.0 F)0.6 C (1.1 F)29 years19 of 100 (Routine)
7 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max (Provisional)38.3 C (100.9 F)1.1 C (2.0 F)1 year12 of 100 (Routine)
6 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max (Tie, Provisional)37.2 C (99.0 F)tie1 year2 of 100 (Routine)
5 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max (Provisional)37.2 C (99.0 F)0.5 C (0.9 F)79 years34 of 100 (Routine)
5 October 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high min (Tie, Provisional)20.0 C (68.0 F)tie1 year2 of 100 (Routine)
10 September 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high min (Tie, Provisional)22.2 C (72.0 F)tie4 years2 of 100 (Routine)
28 August 2026Modesto AP, USdaily rain (Provisional)0.3 mm (0.01 in)0.3 mm (0.01 in)120 years20 of 100 (Routine)
29 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max31.1 C (88.0 F)1.7 C (3.1 F)57 years31 of 100 (Routine)
24 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max30.0 C (86.0 F)1.1 C (2.0 F)4 years13 of 100 (Routine)
23 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max30.6 C (87.1 F)1.2 C (2.2 F)4 years13 of 100 (Routine)
22 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max28.9 C (84.0 F)0.6 C (1.1 F)28 years19 of 100 (Routine)
21 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max28.3 C (82.9 F)1.1 C (2.0 F)65 years31 of 100 (Routine)
21 March 2026Modesto AP, USmonthly high min (Tie)15.0 C (59.0 F)tie37 years7 of 100 (Routine)
20 March 2026Modesto AP, USmonthly high max (Tie)32.8 C (91.0 F)tie0 years5 of 100 (Routine)
19 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max31.1 C (88.0 F)0.5 C (0.9 F)65 years30 of 100 (Routine)
19 March 2026Modesto AP, USmonthly high min (Tie)15.0 C (59.0 F)tie37 years7 of 100 (Routine)
18 March 2026Modesto AP, USmonthly high max32.8 C (91.0 F)1.1 C (2.0 F)65 years41 of 100 (Notable)
18 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high min (Tie)12.8 C (55.0 F)tie29 years4 of 100 (Routine)
17 March 2026Modesto AP, USdaily high max31.1 C (88.0 F)0.5 C (0.9 F)53 years27 of 100 (Routine)

Climate Trend

93 complete years, 1929 to 2025
Annual mean temperature at Modesto AP as warming stripes, 1929 to 2025 One stripe for each of 93 complete years at Modesto AP, 1929 to 2025. Blue stripes are years cooler than the station's own mean of 16.6 C (61.9 F); red stripes are warmer. The coolest year was 1949, at 14.2 C (57.6 F), and the warmest was 2016, at 18.7 C (65.6 F). The strongest colour marks a difference of 2.4 C (4.3 F). 1929: 15.1 C, -1.5 C from the station mean1930: 15.1 C, -1.5 C from the station mean1931: 16.2 C, -0.4 C from the station mean1932: 15.4 C, -1.1 C from the station mean1933: 15.3 C, -1.3 C from the station mean1934: 16.5 C, -0.1 C from the station mean1935: 15.4 C, -1.2 C from the station mean1936: 16.2 C, -0.3 C from the station mean1937: 15.9 C, -0.7 C from the station mean1938: 15.8 C, -0.8 C from the station mean1939: 16.4 C, -0.2 C from the station mean1940: 16.7 C, +0.2 C from the station mean1941: 16.3 C, -0.3 C from the station mean1942: 15.5 C, -1.1 C from the station mean1943: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1944: 15.5 C, -1.1 C from the station mean1945: 15.6 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1946: 15.3 C, -1.3 C from the station mean1947: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1948: 14.4 C, -2.2 C from the station mean1949: 14.2 C, -2.4 C from the station mean1950: 16.3 C, -0.2 C from the station mean1951: 16.0 C, -0.6 C from the station mean1953: 15.9 C, -0.7 C from the station mean1954: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1955: 15.3 C, -1.3 C from the station mean1956: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1957: 16.1 C, -0.5 C from the station mean1958: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean1959: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean1960: 16.5 C, -0.1 C from the station mean1961: 16.1 C, -0.5 C from the station mean1962: 15.7 C, -0.8 C from the station mean1963: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1964: 15.7 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1965: 15.4 C, -1.2 C from the station mean1966: 16.0 C, -0.5 C from the station mean1967: 16.0 C, -0.6 C from the station mean1968: 16.3 C, -0.3 C from the station mean1969: 16.4 C, -0.2 C from the station mean1970: 16.7 C, +0.1 C from the station mean1971: 15.6 C, -1.0 C from the station mean1972: 16.1 C, -0.5 C from the station mean1973: 16.5 C, -0.1 C from the station mean1974: 16.6 C, 0.0 C from the station mean1975: 15.6 C, -0.9 C from the station mean1976: 16.3 C, -0.3 C from the station mean1977: 16.8 C, +0.2 C from the station mean1978: 17.0 C, +0.4 C from the station mean1979: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean1980: 16.5 C, -0.1 C from the station mean1981: 17.4 C, +0.9 C from the station mean1982: 16.0 C, -0.6 C from the station mean1983: 16.9 C, +0.3 C from the station mean1984: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean1985: 16.3 C, -0.3 C from the station mean1987: 16.8 C, +0.2 C from the station mean1989: 16.7 C, +0.1 C from the station mean1990: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean1991: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean1992: 18.0 C, +1.4 C from the station mean1993: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean1994: 17.0 C, +0.4 C from the station mean1996: 18.3 C, +1.7 C from the station mean1997: 18.3 C, +1.7 C from the station mean1998: 16.7 C, +0.1 C from the station mean1999: 16.1 C, -0.5 C from the station mean2000: 16.7 C, +0.1 C from the station mean2001: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean2002: 16.8 C, +0.2 C from the station mean2003: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean2004: 17.0 C, +0.4 C from the station mean2005: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean2006: 17.6 C, +1.0 C from the station mean2007: 17.9 C, +1.3 C from the station mean2008: 18.0 C, +1.4 C from the station mean2009: 17.6 C, +1.0 C from the station mean2010: 16.6 C, 0.0 C from the station mean2011: 16.3 C, -0.3 C from the station mean2012: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean2013: 17.3 C, +0.7 C from the station mean2014: 18.5 C, +1.9 C from the station mean2015: 18.5 C, +1.9 C from the station mean2016: 18.7 C, +2.1 C from the station mean2017: 18.5 C, +1.9 C from the station mean2018: 17.7 C, +1.2 C from the station mean2019: 17.6 C, +1.0 C from the station mean2020: 18.1 C, +1.5 C from the station mean2021: 17.2 C, +0.6 C from the station mean2022: 17.4 C, +0.8 C from the station mean2023: 16.6 C, 0.0 C from the station mean2024: 18.3 C, +1.7 C from the station mean2025: 17.6 C, +1.0 C from the station mean1929194019501960197019801990200020102020
One stripe for each of 93 complete years at Modesto AP, 1929 to 2025. Blue stripes are years cooler than the station's own mean of 16.6 C (61.9 F); red stripes are warmer. The coolest year was 1949, at 14.2 C (57.6 F), and the warmest was 2016, at 18.7 C (65.6 F). The strongest colour marks a difference of 2.4 C (4.3 F).
Annual mean temperature at Modesto AP as warming stripes, 1929 to 2025
YearAnnual mean temperatureDifference from the station mean
192915.1 C-1.53 C
193015.1 C-1.53 C
193116.2 C-0.41 C
193215.4 C-1.15 C
193315.3 C-1.32 C
193416.5 C-0.09 C
193515.4 C-1.23 C
193616.2 C-0.35 C
193715.9 C-0.72 C
193815.8 C-0.84 C
193916.4 C-0.24 C
194016.7 C+0.15 C
194116.3 C-0.31 C
194215.5 C-1.14 C
194315.7 C-0.91 C
194415.5 C-1.14 C
194515.6 C-0.95 C
194615.3 C-1.32 C
194715.7 C-0.90 C
194814.4 C-2.23 C
194914.2 C-2.39 C
195016.3 C-0.25 C
195116.0 C-0.61 C
195315.9 C-0.72 C
195415.7 C-0.90 C
195515.3 C-1.28 C
195615.7 C-0.90 C
195716.1 C-0.53 C
195817.2 C+0.64 C
195917.2 C+0.63 C
196016.5 C-0.13 C
196116.1 C-0.47 C
196215.7 C-0.85 C
196315.7 C-0.94 C
196415.7 C-0.92 C
196515.4 C-1.22 C
196616.0 C-0.55 C
196716.0 C-0.63 C
196816.3 C-0.32 C
196916.4 C-0.22 C
197016.7 C+0.11 C
197115.6 C-0.98 C
197216.1 C-0.47 C
197316.5 C-0.08 C
197416.6 C+0.01 C
197515.6 C-0.95 C
197616.3 C-0.31 C
197716.8 C+0.18 C
197817.0 C+0.43 C
197917.3 C+0.67 C
198016.5 C-0.10 C
198117.4 C+0.85 C
198216.0 C-0.57 C
198316.9 C+0.34 C
198417.3 C+0.69 C
198516.3 C-0.31 C
198716.8 C+0.23 C
198916.7 C+0.09 C
199017.2 C+0.59 C
199117.2 C+0.58 C
199218.0 C+1.40 C
199317.3 C+0.70 C
199417.0 C+0.40 C
199618.3 C+1.69 C
199718.3 C+1.72 C
199816.7 C+0.06 C
199916.1 C-0.52 C
200016.7 C+0.08 C
200117.3 C+0.70 C
200216.8 C+0.20 C
200317.3 C+0.67 C
200417.0 C+0.43 C
200517.2 C+0.62 C
200617.6 C+0.99 C
200717.9 C+1.30 C
200818.0 C+1.43 C
200917.6 C+0.98 C
201016.6 C+0.04 C
201116.3 C-0.31 C
201217.3 C+0.69 C
201317.3 C+0.74 C
201418.5 C+1.91 C
201518.5 C+1.94 C
201618.7 C+2.09 C
201718.5 C+1.94 C
201817.7 C+1.15 C
201917.6 C+0.96 C
202018.1 C+1.48 C
202117.2 C+0.58 C
202217.4 C+0.80 C
202316.6 C+0.01 C
202418.3 C+1.67 C
202517.6 C+0.99 C

The annual mean temperature here has risen by 0.3 C (0.2 to 0.3) per decade over 1929 to 2025. In Fahrenheit: 0.5 F (0.4 to 0.6) per decade. The slope is a straight line fitted to 93 complete years; the brackets give its 95 percent interval.

Fitted temperature trends per decade at Modesto AP
MeasurePer decade (C)Per decade (F)PeriodComplete yearsReading
Annual mean temperature0.3 C (0.2 to 0.3) per decade0.5 F (0.4 to 0.6) per decade1929 to 202593Rise
Mean daily maximum0.2 C (0.1 to 0.2) per decade0.3 F (0.2 to 0.4) per decade1929 to 202593Rise
Mean daily minimum0.4 C (0.3 to 0.4) per decade0.6 F (0.5 to 0.7) per decade1929 to 202593Rise

A year is complete when all 12 months have at least 20 days of both daily maximum and daily minimum readings. The annual mean is the mean of the monthly means. The trend describes this one station over this period; it does not say what caused the change.

Extremes by Year

1906 to 2026
Yearly extremes at Modesto AP: the record and the median year
MeasureRecordYear of the recordMedian yearYears with a value
Hottest day (TXx)45.0 C (113.0 F)200641.1 C (106.0 F)100
Coldest night (TNn)-7.8 C (18.0 F)1932-3.3 C (26.1 F)100
Wettest day (Rx1day)69.1 mm (2.7 in)197828.2 mm (1.1 in)113
Wettest five days (Rx5day)119.0 mm (4.7 in)195855.0 mm (2.2 in)111
Longest dry spell (CDD)215 days2021126 days113

Hottest day (TXx)

Hottest day (TXx) at Modesto AP by year The hottest day of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 45.0 C (113.0 F) in 2006, marked on the chart; the median year is 41.1 C (106.0 F). 3840424446192019401960198020002020Record: 45.0 C (113.0 F) in 2006
The hottest day of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 45.0 C (113.0 F) in 2006, marked on the chart; the median year is 41.1 C (106.0 F).
Hottest day (TXx) at Modesto AP by year
YearHottest day (TXx)
1906n/a
1907n/a
1908n/a
1909n/a
1910n/a
1911n/a
1912n/a
1913n/a
1914n/a
1915n/a
1916n/a
1917n/a
1918n/a
192739.4 C (102.9 F)
192840.0 C (104.0 F)
192942.2 C (108.0 F)
193040.0 C (104.0 F)
193143.3 C (109.9 F)
193239.4 C (102.9 F)
193341.7 C (107.1 F)
193440.0 C (104.0 F)
193542.2 C (108.0 F)
193640.0 C (104.0 F)
193741.7 C (107.1 F)
193842.2 C (108.0 F)
193941.1 C (106.0 F)
194041.7 C (107.1 F)
194140.6 C (105.1 F)
194241.1 C (106.0 F)
194339.4 C (102.9 F)
194440.6 C (105.1 F)
194540.0 C (104.0 F)
194640.6 C (105.1 F)
194738.9 C (102.0 F)
194840.6 C (105.1 F)
194938.9 C (102.0 F)
195042.2 C (108.0 F)
195141.1 C (106.0 F)
195239.4 C (102.9 F)
195339.4 C (102.9 F)
195442.2 C (108.0 F)
195541.1 C (106.0 F)
195642.2 C (108.0 F)
195742.2 C (108.0 F)
195839.4 C (102.9 F)
195942.2 C (108.0 F)
196042.8 C (109.0 F)
196144.4 C (111.9 F)
196240.6 C (105.1 F)
196340.0 C (104.0 F)
196442.8 C (109.0 F)
196538.9 C (102.0 F)
196641.7 C (107.1 F)
196740.6 C (105.1 F)
196840.6 C (105.1 F)
196939.4 C (102.9 F)
197041.1 C (106.0 F)
197141.1 C (106.0 F)
197243.9 C (111.0 F)
197342.8 C (109.0 F)
197440.6 C (105.1 F)
197542.2 C (108.0 F)
197641.7 C (107.1 F)
197741.1 C (106.0 F)
197841.1 C (106.0 F)
197940.6 C (105.1 F)
198040.6 C (105.1 F)
198141.1 C (106.0 F)
198238.9 C (102.0 F)
198341.7 C (107.1 F)
198441.1 C (106.0 F)
198541.7 C (107.1 F)
198640.6 C (105.1 F)
198740.6 C (105.1 F)
198842.2 C (108.0 F)
198941.7 C (107.1 F)
199041.1 C (106.0 F)
199142.2 C (108.0 F)
199240.0 C (104.0 F)
199341.1 C (106.0 F)
199439.4 C (102.9 F)
199540.6 C (105.1 F)
199641.7 C (107.1 F)
199740.6 C (105.1 F)
199842.2 C (108.0 F)
199941.7 C (107.1 F)
200041.1 C (106.0 F)
200142.8 C (109.0 F)
200243.3 C (109.9 F)
200341.7 C (107.1 F)
200438.9 C (102.0 F)
200541.7 C (107.1 F)
200645.0 C (113.0 F)
200743.3 C (109.9 F)
200842.8 C (109.0 F)
200943.9 C (111.0 F)
201041.7 C (107.1 F)
201140.0 C (104.0 F)
201240.6 C (105.1 F)
201342.2 C (108.0 F)
201441.1 C (106.0 F)
201541.1 C (106.0 F)
201641.7 C (107.1 F)
201742.8 C (109.0 F)
201840.6 C (105.1 F)
201941.1 C (106.0 F)
202043.9 C (111.0 F)
202142.2 C (108.0 F)
202244.4 C (111.9 F)
202341.1 C (106.0 F)
202443.3 C (109.9 F)
202539.4 C (102.9 F)
202640.6 C (105.1 F)

Coldest night (TNn)

Coldest night (TNn) at Modesto AP by year The coldest night of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is -7.8 C (18.0 F) in 1932, marked on the chart; the median year is -3.3 C (26.1 F). -10-7.5-5-2.502.5192019401960198020002020Record: -7.8 C (18.0 F) in 1932
The coldest night of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is -7.8 C (18.0 F) in 1932, marked on the chart; the median year is -3.3 C (26.1 F).
Coldest night (TNn) at Modesto AP by year
YearColdest night (TNn)
1906n/a
1907n/a
1908n/a
1909n/a
1910n/a
1911n/a
1912n/a
1913n/a
1914n/a
1915n/a
1916n/a
1917n/a
1918n/a
1927-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1928-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1929-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1930-7.2 C (19.0 F)
1931-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1932-7.8 C (18.0 F)
1933-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1934-1.1 C (30.0 F)
1935-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1936-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1937-6.7 C (19.9 F)
1938-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1939-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1940-5.6 C (21.9 F)
1941-1.7 C (28.9 F)
1942-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1943-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1944-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1945-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1946-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1947-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1948-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1949-7.8 C (18.0 F)
1950-6.7 C (19.9 F)
1951-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1952-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1953-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1954-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1955-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1956-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1957-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1958-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1959-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1960-5.6 C (21.9 F)
1961-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1962-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1963-5.6 C (21.9 F)
1964-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1965-5.0 C (23.0 F)
1966-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1967-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1968-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1969-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1970-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1971-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1972-5.6 C (21.9 F)
1973-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1974-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1975-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1976-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1977-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1978-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1979-3.3 C (26.1 F)
1980-2.8 C (27.0 F)
19810.6 C (33.1 F)
1982-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1983-0.6 C (30.9 F)
1984-0.6 C (30.9 F)
1985-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1986-1.1 C (30.0 F)
1987-3.9 C (25.0 F)
1988-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1989-4.4 C (24.1 F)
1990-7.2 C (19.0 F)
1991-0.6 C (30.9 F)
1992-0.6 C (30.9 F)
1993-2.8 C (27.0 F)
1994-0.6 C (30.9 F)
19951.7 C (35.1 F)
19960.6 C (33.1 F)
1997-2.2 C (28.0 F)
1998-6.1 C (21.0 F)
1999-3.3 C (26.1 F)
2000-3.3 C (26.1 F)
2001-2.8 C (27.0 F)
2002-3.3 C (26.1 F)
2003-2.8 C (27.0 F)
2004-2.2 C (28.0 F)
2005-1.1 C (30.0 F)
2006-1.7 C (28.9 F)
2007-5.0 C (23.0 F)
2008-1.7 C (28.9 F)
2009-4.4 C (24.1 F)
2010-2.2 C (28.0 F)
2011-3.9 C (25.0 F)
2012-5.0 C (23.0 F)
2013-4.3 C (24.3 F)
2014-1.0 C (30.2 F)
2015-2.7 C (27.1 F)
2016-1.0 C (30.2 F)
2017-1.0 C (30.2 F)
2018-2.7 C (27.1 F)
2019-1.6 C (29.1 F)
2020-2.1 C (28.2 F)
2021-2.7 C (27.1 F)
2022-2.1 C (28.2 F)
2023-2.7 C (27.1 F)
2024-0.5 C (31.1 F)
2025-1.0 C (30.2 F)
20260.0 C (32.0 F)

Wettest day (Rx1day)

Wettest day (Rx1day) at Modesto AP by year The wettest day of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 69.1 mm (2.7 in) in 1978, marked on the chart; the median year is 28.2 mm (1.1 in). 020406080192019401960198020002020Record: 69.1 mm (2.7 in) in 1978
The wettest day of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 69.1 mm (2.7 in) in 1978, marked on the chart; the median year is 28.2 mm (1.1 in).
Wettest day (Rx1day) at Modesto AP by year
YearWettest day (Rx1day)
190631.8 mm (1.3 in)
190736.8 mm (1.4 in)
190825.4 mm (1.0 in)
190922.9 mm (0.9 in)
191022.9 mm (0.9 in)
191126.7 mm (1.1 in)
191219.1 mm (0.8 in)
191325.4 mm (1.0 in)
191431.8 mm (1.3 in)
191550.8 mm (2.0 in)
191643.2 mm (1.7 in)
191722.4 mm (0.9 in)
191826.7 mm (1.1 in)
192737.3 mm (1.5 in)
192839.9 mm (1.6 in)
192917.3 mm (0.7 in)
193016.3 mm (0.6 in)
193127.2 mm (1.1 in)
193231.0 mm (1.2 in)
193340.9 mm (1.6 in)
193427.9 mm (1.1 in)
193545.7 mm (1.8 in)
193626.9 mm (1.1 in)
193737.6 mm (1.5 in)
193821.8 mm (0.9 in)
193921.3 mm (0.8 in)
194029.2 mm (1.1 in)
194131.0 mm (1.2 in)
194223.1 mm (0.9 in)
194328.7 mm (1.1 in)
194431.2 mm (1.2 in)
194542.9 mm (1.7 in)
194620.3 mm (0.8 in)
194726.4 mm (1.0 in)
194827.4 mm (1.1 in)
194917.5 mm (0.7 in)
195027.9 mm (1.1 in)
195126.7 mm (1.1 in)
195224.6 mm (1.0 in)
195325.4 mm (1.0 in)
195431.0 mm (1.2 in)
195550.8 mm (2.0 in)
195622.9 mm (0.9 in)
195723.6 mm (0.9 in)
195851.1 mm (2.0 in)
195947.2 mm (1.9 in)
196017.5 mm (0.7 in)
196128.2 mm (1.1 in)
196227.7 mm (1.1 in)
196329.5 mm (1.2 in)
196430.2 mm (1.2 in)
196523.6 mm (0.9 in)
196621.6 mm (0.9 in)
196744.2 mm (1.7 in)
196832.8 mm (1.3 in)
196933.5 mm (1.3 in)
197057.2 mm (2.3 in)
197123.4 mm (0.9 in)
197230.7 mm (1.2 in)
197344.5 mm (1.8 in)
197433.0 mm (1.3 in)
197519.1 mm (0.8 in)
197615.7 mm (0.6 in)
197719.1 mm (0.8 in)
197869.1 mm (2.7 in)
197921.6 mm (0.9 in)
198034.8 mm (1.4 in)
198129.5 mm (1.2 in)
198241.7 mm (1.6 in)
198340.6 mm (1.6 in)
198428.7 mm (1.1 in)
198525.9 mm (1.0 in)
198632.5 mm (1.3 in)
198739.6 mm (1.6 in)
198827.7 mm (1.1 in)
198919.1 mm (0.8 in)
199019.6 mm (0.8 in)
199123.4 mm (0.9 in)
199228.7 mm (1.1 in)
199332.8 mm (1.3 in)
199423.1 mm (0.9 in)
199555.6 mm (2.2 in)
199646.0 mm (1.8 in)
199728.4 mm (1.1 in)
199848.5 mm (1.9 in)
199922.1 mm (0.9 in)
200041.4 mm (1.6 in)
200125.1 mm (1.0 in)
200236.3 mm (1.4 in)
200320.8 mm (0.8 in)
200420.8 mm (0.8 in)
200527.9 mm (1.1 in)
200643.2 mm (1.7 in)
200714.0 mm (0.6 in)
200830.7 mm (1.2 in)
200939.9 mm (1.6 in)
201031.8 mm (1.3 in)
201119.3 mm (0.8 in)
201222.9 mm (0.9 in)
201322.6 mm (0.9 in)
201455.4 mm (2.2 in)
201524.6 mm (1.0 in)
201640.6 mm (1.6 in)
201725.4 mm (1.0 in)
201835.6 mm (1.4 in)
201923.4 mm (0.9 in)
202022.4 mm (0.9 in)
202163.2 mm (2.5 in)
202239.9 mm (1.6 in)
202326.7 mm (1.1 in)
202431.5 mm (1.2 in)
202525.7 mm (1.0 in)
202641.9 mm (1.6 in)

Wettest five days (Rx5day)

Wettest five days (Rx5day) at Modesto AP by year The wettest five days of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 119.0 mm (4.7 in) in 1958, marked on the chart; the median year is 55.0 mm (2.2 in). 255075100125192019401960198020002020Record: 119.0 mm (4.7 in) in 1958
The wettest five days of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 119.0 mm (4.7 in) in 1958, marked on the chart; the median year is 55.0 mm (2.2 in).
Wettest five days (Rx5day) at Modesto AP by year
YearWettest five days (Rx5day)
190680.6 mm (3.2 in)
190758.2 mm (2.3 in)
190840.4 mm (1.6 in)
190943.9 mm (1.7 in)
191049.6 mm (2.0 in)
191172.4 mm (2.9 in)
191225.5 mm (1.0 in)
191338.1 mm (1.5 in)
191493.0 mm (3.7 in)
191551.8 mm (2.0 in)
191643.2 mm (1.7 in)
1917n/a
1918n/a
192743.9 mm (1.7 in)
192845.8 mm (1.8 in)
192929.2 mm (1.1 in)
193036.6 mm (1.4 in)
193155.5 mm (2.2 in)
193255.4 mm (2.2 in)
193349.2 mm (1.9 in)
193458.8 mm (2.3 in)
193559.4 mm (2.3 in)
193660.9 mm (2.4 in)
193780.5 mm (3.2 in)
193855.1 mm (2.2 in)
193932.5 mm (1.3 in)
194073.7 mm (2.9 in)
194157.5 mm (2.3 in)
194248.1 mm (1.9 in)
194339.7 mm (1.6 in)
194458.6 mm (2.3 in)
194565.3 mm (2.6 in)
194628.7 mm (1.1 in)
194735.0 mm (1.4 in)
194849.1 mm (1.9 in)
194928.0 mm (1.1 in)
195073.3 mm (2.9 in)
195173.4 mm (2.9 in)
195238.3 mm (1.5 in)
195328.8 mm (1.1 in)
195441.5 mm (1.6 in)
195585.9 mm (3.4 in)
195636.6 mm (1.4 in)
195742.0 mm (1.7 in)
1958119.0 mm (4.7 in)
195952.8 mm (2.1 in)
196041.8 mm (1.6 in)
196162.7 mm (2.5 in)
196283.3 mm (3.3 in)
196365.0 mm (2.6 in)
196447.0 mm (1.9 in)
196555.3 mm (2.2 in)
196644.9 mm (1.8 in)
196779.5 mm (3.1 in)
196847.0 mm (1.9 in)
196944.6 mm (1.8 in)
197097.1 mm (3.8 in)
197160.9 mm (2.4 in)
197259.4 mm (2.3 in)
197346.8 mm (1.8 in)
197445.2 mm (1.8 in)
197531.5 mm (1.2 in)
197625.6 mm (1.0 in)
197741.1 mm (1.6 in)
1978104.5 mm (4.1 in)
197949.1 mm (1.9 in)
198070.9 mm (2.8 in)
198159.7 mm (2.4 in)
198262.5 mm (2.5 in)
198382.5 mm (3.2 in)
198428.7 mm (1.1 in)
198538.8 mm (1.5 in)
198678.7 mm (3.1 in)
198750.6 mm (2.0 in)
198842.5 mm (1.7 in)
198926.5 mm (1.0 in)
199040.4 mm (1.6 in)
199155.1 mm (2.2 in)
199286.8 mm (3.4 in)
199369.8 mm (2.7 in)
199433.2 mm (1.3 in)
199576.1 mm (3.0 in)
199652.3 mm (2.1 in)
199755.4 mm (2.2 in)
1998106.7 mm (4.2 in)
199949.3 mm (1.9 in)
200061.0 mm (2.4 in)
200157.0 mm (2.2 in)
200264.3 mm (2.5 in)
200330.2 mm (1.2 in)
200462.0 mm (2.4 in)
200551.1 mm (2.0 in)
200655.1 mm (2.2 in)
200727.0 mm (1.1 in)
200852.1 mm (2.1 in)
200939.9 mm (1.6 in)
201078.2 mm (3.1 in)
201147.8 mm (1.9 in)
201262.4 mm (2.5 in)
201328.7 mm (1.1 in)
201492.7 mm (3.6 in)
201535.2 mm (1.4 in)
201666.9 mm (2.6 in)
201762.9 mm (2.5 in)
201855.0 mm (2.2 in)
201949.6 mm (2.0 in)
202036.3 mm (1.4 in)
202194.3 mm (3.7 in)
202288.2 mm (3.5 in)
202359.2 mm (2.3 in)
202462.0 mm (2.4 in)
202570.1 mm (2.8 in)
202665.7 mm (2.6 in)

Longest dry spell (CDD)

Longest dry spell (CDD) at Modesto AP by year The longest dry spell of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 215 days in 2021, marked on the chart; the median year is 126 days. 0100200300192019401960198020002020Record: 215 days in 2021
The longest dry spell of the year at Modesto AP, 1906 to 2026. The record is 215 days in 2021, marked on the chart; the median year is 126 days.
Longest dry spell (CDD) at Modesto AP by year
YearLongest dry spell (CDD)
1906106 days
190755 days
190846 days
1909153 days
1910175 days
1911149 days
191273 days
1913123 days
191477 days
191531 days
191649 days
19171 day
19181 day
1927140 days
1928173 days
1929112 days
1930114 days
193171 days
1932182 days
1933160 days
1934108 days
1935153 days
193657 days
1937157 days
193862 days
1939112 days
1940180 days
1941172 days
1942138 days
1943174 days
1944145 days
194591 days
1946126 days
1947121 days
1948132 days
1949171 days
1950136 days
1951173 days
1952105 days
195384 days
1954148 days
1955132 days
1956133 days
1957111 days
1958107 days
1959113 days
1960108 days
196199 days
1962146 days
1963124 days
1964141 days
1965111 days
196698 days
1967118 days
1968150 days
1969154 days
1970132 days
1971143 days
1972108 days
1973176 days
1974109 days
1975115 days
1976125 days
1977123 days
1978130 days
197983 days
1980153 days
1981137 days
198277 days
1983105 days
1984173 days
198597 days
198686 days
1987173 days
1988128 days
198975 days
1990116 days
199171 days
1992101 days
1993126 days
1994138 days
199594 days
1996160 days
1997126 days
1998139 days
1999141 days
200084 days
2001156 days
2002170 days
2003109 days
2004113 days
200594 days
200673 days
2007141 days
2008132 days
2009100 days
2010128 days
201196 days
2012140 days
201388 days
2014152 days
2015139 days
2016160 days
2017141 days
2018179 days
2019112 days
2020158 days
2021215 days
2022109 days
2023170 days
2024181 days
2025150 days
2026161 days

Each chart shows one value per year; the dot marks the record year. TXx is the hottest daily maximum, TNn the coldest daily minimum, Rx1day and Rx5day the largest one-day and five-day rain totals, and CDD the longest run of days with less than 1 mm of rain. A year with missing days can understate an extreme.

Frost Dates and Growing Season

82 years with a frost

Across 82 years with a frost, the median last spring frost at Modesto AP falls on 15 February and the median first autumn frost on 28 November, which leaves a median of 291 days between them.

In 1987 to 2023 the median growing season was 306 days. That is 41 days more than in 1929 to 1962.

Fitted over all years, the growing season changes by +6.0 days per decade at this station.

Frost dates and growing season at Modesto AP
MeasureMedian, all yearsEarliest period (1929 to 1962)Recent period (1987 to 2023)Recent against earliestFitted trend
Last spring frost15 February4 March5 February27 days earlier-3.9 days per decade
First autumn frost28 November21 November3 December12 days later+2.1 days per decade
Growing days291 days265 days306 days41 days more+6.0 days per decade

A frost day is a day with a daily minimum at or below 0 C (32 F). The last spring frost and the first autumn frost are the last and first such days of the cold season, and growing days are the days between them. A negative trend for the last spring frost means it comes earlier.

Rainfall Return Levels

103 years, 1907 to 2025

A day with at least 28.5 mm (1.1 in) of rain is expected about once in 2 years. A day with at least 69.8 mm (2.7 in) of rain is expected about once in 100 years.

Rainfall return levels at Modesto AP: the daily rain expected about once in a given number of years
Expected about once inA day with at leastNote
2 years28.5 mm (1.1 in)
5 years37.9 mm (1.5 in)
10 years44.8 mm (1.8 in)
25 years54.2 mm (2.1 in)
50 years61.8 mm (2.4 in)
100 years69.8 mm (2.7 in)

The levels come from a generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution fitted by L-moments to the wettest-day total of each year, 103 years of values from 1907 to 2025.

A return level is an estimate. It is least reliable for the long periods, 50 and 100 years, and for any period longer than the record behind the fit, where the fit has to reach past the largest day actually observed. It is not a forecast.

The largest wettest-day totals in the fit: 69.1 mm (2.7 in) in 1978; 63.2 mm (2.5 in) in 2021; 57.2 mm (2.3 in) in 1970.

Station Changes

1 suspected

One change was suspected in the annual mean temperature of Modesto AP, at 1950. Each is measured against neighbouring stations.

  • Relative to 5 neighbouring stations, the station's annual mean temperature from 1950 ran 0.5 C (1.0 F) higher than in the years before (likely change).
Suspected changes in the annual mean temperature at Modesto AP, against neighbouring stations
YearShift (C)Shift (F)StrengthNeighbours
1950+0.5+1.0likely5

Possible change at the station (a move, a new instrument or a new site); the record is kept as measured. A "likely" change has a larger test statistic than a "possible" one. Neither says why the station differs from its neighbours. How changes are found, and the largest ones.

Climate Twins

2011 to 2025 against 1961 to 1990

Over 2011 to 2025, Modesto AP had a mean temperature of 17.7 C (63.9 F) and 294.8 mm (11.6 in) of rain a year. The 3 stations whose 1961 to 1990 climate was closest to that are Porterville (United States, 244 km away), Tombstone (United States, 1,192 km away) and Tumacacori Nm (United States, 1,128 km away).

Climate twins of Modesto AP: stations whose 1961 to 1990 climate is closest to its 2011 to 2025 climate
Twin stationCountryDistance awayMean temperature, 1961-1990Rain a year, 1961-1990Climate difference
PortervilleUnited States244 km (152 mi)17.7 C (63.9 F)280.0 mm (11.0 in)0.58
TombstoneUnited States1,192 km (741 mi)17.5 C (63.5 F)341.4 mm (13.4 in)0.73
Tumacacori NmUnited States1,128 km (701 mi)17.9 C (64.2 F)407.6 mm (16.0 in)0.73

Twins are stations, not cities. A twin is one of the three stations at least 100 km away whose earlier climate is closest to this station's recent one, so a close match does not mean the two places look alike in other ways. A station move or a gap in a record can change that station's averages. The list describes past climate; it is not a forecast and does not say what caused any change. How twins are found, and a search for any station.

Download the Data

  • Data for Modesto AP standing records by year: CSV or JSON. Field meanings are on the data page.
  • Data for Modesto AP threshold days by year: CSV or JSON. Field meanings are on the data page.

Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Global Historical Climatology Network Daily (GHCN-Daily). Records are computed by World Extreme Weather Monitor and are not official NOAA products. (US Government open data (NOAA NCEI)) Data as of 2026-10-15 (15 October 2026). Records are computed by this site and are not official.

Data as of . Last revised (2026-10-15).